State 2018 polls senate. The state voted for the democratic presidential nominee in eight of the last 11 elections.
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2018 swing states. Politicos swing state map features the most recent real clear politics polling average in the most competitive states as identified by politico. Latest swing state surveys on senate house elections after gop saw apparent kavanaugh bump. Kevin cramer r defeated incumbent sen.
Electoral votes are assigned to the current rcp. All five of the incumbents who lost in 2018 were from those 11 states. Election analytics website fivethirtyeight identifies the states of colorado florida iowa michigan minnesota ohio nevada new hampshire north carolina pennsylvania virginia and wisconsin as perennial swing states that have regularly seen close contests over the last few presidential campaigns.
Ohio colorado no longer swing states washington the 2018 midterms remade congress for the next two years but they also hinted at a changing electoral map for the next. Trump won the state by 36 points in 2016. In his most recent round of 2018 endorsements barack obama backed state legislative candidates in colorado michigan minnesota new hampshire and wisconsin just to name a few.
Democratic leaders know how important these state legislature races are. Both wisconsin and michigan were considered major 2018 losses for republicans who couldnt hold on to the governors office in either state though both legislatures remain fairly evenly split. Texas is mentioned as a possible swing state in the 2020 presidential election.
Democrats had hoped those gains portended big changes in 2020. Trump won the state by 42 points but the mountain state bucked the idea of voting straight ticket electing democratic coal executive jim justice to the governors mansion with a 7 point margin. The 2018 midterms are quickly approaching and candidates are jostling in the final weeks to come out on top.
According to the previous presidential elections the states of colorado florida iowa michigan and minnesota among others were analyzed as the swing states that have regularly experienced stiff competition over the presidential candidates. The state voted for the republican presidential nominee in eight of the last 11 elections.
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